Comparison of predictive models for forecasting timeseries data

Serkan Özen, Volkan Atalay, Adnan Yazici

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

4 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Dramatic increase in data size enabled researchers to study analysis and prediction of big data. Big data can be formed in many ways and one alternative is through the use of sensors. An important aspect of data coming from sensors is that they are time-series data. Although forecasting based on time-series data has been studied widely, it is still possible to advance the state-ofthe- art by constructing new hybrid deep learning models. In this study, Random Forest, Convolutional Neural Network, Long Short Term Memory and hybrid Convolutional Neural Network- Long Short Term Memory models are applied and assessed on meteorological time-series data. Vector Auto-regression model and Multi-layer Perceptron model are used as the baseline forecasting methods for comparison purposes. Root Mean Square Error of the models for predictions are calculated for performance assessment which reveals the performance of these deep learning methods for forecasting based on time-series data.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationICBDR 2019 - Proceedings of the 2019 3rd International Conference on Big Data Research
PublisherAssociation for Computing Machinery
Pages172-176
Number of pages5
ISBN (Electronic)9781450372015
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Nov 20 2019
Event3rd International Conference on Big Data Research, ICBDR 2019 - Cergy-Pontoise, France
Duration: Nov 20 2019Nov 21 2019

Publication series

NameACM International Conference Proceeding Series

Conference

Conference3rd International Conference on Big Data Research, ICBDR 2019
Country/TerritoryFrance
CityCergy-Pontoise
Period11/20/1911/21/19

Keywords

  • Deep learning
  • Supervised learning
  • Time-series prediction

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Software
  • Human-Computer Interaction
  • Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
  • Computer Networks and Communications

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