Estimation of operating reserve capacity in interconnected systems with variable renewable energy using probabilistic approach

Yerzhigit Bapin, Maxime Mussard, Mehdi Bagheri

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

2 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The balance between supply and demand of electric power is crucial for stable operation of energy systems; therefore, having enough operating reserve capacity is important to ensure safe and cost-effective operation of the power grid. Conventional operating reserve estimation methods, based on deterministic criteria, become ineffective with increasing share of renewable power. Renewable energy sources, such as wind and solar, cannot be easily integrated into existing grid systems due to unpredictable and volatile nature of their power production. To address this issue, the alternative methods that consider the uncertainties associated with renewable power generation need to be developed. In this study, a probabilistic method for estimation of operating reserve capacity in interconnected power systems considering load and renewable power forecast errors, as well as the costs associated with reserve scheduling is proposed. The proposed methodology is tested on the IEEE Two Area Reliability Test System. The main reliability indicators are compared with those, obtained by deterministic method and the probabilistic method that does not account for inter-zonal interactions. The results of proposed method show the lowest costs of operating reserves compared to other models.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2018 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems, PMAPS 2018 - Proceedings
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
ISBN (Print)9781538635964
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Aug 17 2018
Event2018 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems, PMAPS 2018 - Boise, United States
Duration: Jun 24 2018Jun 28 2018

Conference

Conference2018 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems, PMAPS 2018
CountryUnited States
CityBoise
Period6/24/186/28/18

Keywords

  • Equivalent assisting unit method
  • Interconnected systems
  • Operating reserve capacity
  • Power system reliability
  • Wind power generation

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Computer Networks and Communications
  • Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty
  • Energy Engineering and Power Technology
  • Statistics and Probability

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    Bapin, Y., Mussard, M., & Bagheri, M. (2018). Estimation of operating reserve capacity in interconnected systems with variable renewable energy using probabilistic approach. In 2018 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems, PMAPS 2018 - Proceedings [8440218] Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.. https://doi.org/10.1109/PMAPS.2018.8440218