Exchange rate policies in Asia in an era of financial globalisation: An empirical assessment

Tony Cavoli, Sasidaran Gopalan, Ramkishen S. Rajan

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Ebbs and flows of capital have complicated macroeconomic policy management for all emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) regardless of whether they have adopted flexible or managed exchange rate regimes. In the light of the renewed interest in the trilemma versus dilemma debate, we contribute to the related literature by presenting an empirical analysis of exchange rate flexibility and intervention for selected Asian EMDEs over the time period 2001–2016. In addition to estimating augmented Frankel–Wei regressions, we employ a generalised auto-regressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model to assess the extent of foreign exchange (FX) intervention and whether there exist any asymmetries in the way countries intervene. Our results show that although there is greater flexibility in exchange rates, there is evidence of some countries potentially using FX intervention to manage currency movements. We also find evidence of asymmetry in intervention where exchange rate volatility responds more emphatically to FX sales than purchases.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1774-1795
Number of pages22
JournalWorld Economy
Volume42
Issue number6
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jan 1 2019

Keywords

  • exchange rate flexibility
  • financial stability
  • foreign exchange intervention
  • impossible trinity

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Accounting
  • Finance
  • Economics and Econometrics
  • Political Science and International Relations

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