Exploring a targeted approach for public health capacity restrictions during COVID-19 using a new computational model

Ashley N. Micuda, Mark R. Anderson, Irina Babayan, Erin Bolger, Logan Cantin, Gillian Groth, Ry Pressman-Cyna, Charlotte Z. Reed, Noah J. Rowe, Mehdi Shafiee, Benjamin Tam, Marie C. Vidal, Tianai Ye, Ryan D. Martin

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

This work introduces the Queen's University Agent-Based Outbreak Outcome Model (QUABOOM). This tool is an agent-based Monte Carlo simulation for modelling epidemics and informing public health policy. We illustrate the use of the model by examining capacity restrictions during a lockdown. We find that public health measures should focus on the few locations where many people interact, such as grocery stores, rather than the many locations where few people interact, such as small businesses. We also discuss a case where the results of the simulation can be scaled to larger population sizes, thereby improving computational efficiency.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)234-244
Number of pages11
JournalInfectious Disease Modelling
Volume9
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Mar 2024

Keywords

  • Agent-based epidemic modelling
  • Basic reproductive number
  • COVID-19
  • Monte-carlo
  • Public health
  • Small business capacity restrictions

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Health Policy
  • Infectious Diseases
  • Applied Mathematics

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