Kick control reliability analysis of managed pressure drilling operation

Idris Sule, Faisal Khan, Stephen Butt, Ming Yang

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

25 Citations (Scopus)


Offshore drilling involves complex operations and equipment; thus, faces many operational challenges, including well control. Managed pressure drilling has been proved to resolve most of these challenges; however, this technology, for the most part, is still in its infancy. This paper explores the safety and reliability assessment of a managed pressure drilling operation by investigating the kick control operation of constant bottomhole pressure technique of managed pressure drilling. In addition, this study seeks to understand the components interactions in an MPD system and their modes of failure. Failure scenarios are first built using a Fault Tree model and then analyzed using a Bayesian Network model. The reliability assessments of kick control operation are performed in two ways: a basic-components approach and a system-barrier elements approach. The analysis identifies communication related components, including
network device damage as the most safety-critical component due to their high-level of influence while flowline and pump line blockages/rupture are ranked second-most critical but with limitedlevel of influence. However, the system-barrier element approach ranks the managed pressure drilling control system as the most safety-critical equipment. Further detailed analysis confirms
that the monitoring equipment are the most safety-critical components of the managed pressure drilling control system with Coriolis flow meter and Rig pump exhibiting the most critical monitoring equipment. Additionally, the managed pressure drilling system’s components show high degree of dependencies on one another and exhibit non-sequential modes of failure during kick control operation.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)7-20
JournalJournal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries
Publication statusPublished - Jan 2018


  • fault tree
  • bayesian network
  • reliability
  • MPD
  • safety barrier

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Chemical Health and Safety
  • Engineering(all)
  • Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality

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